Match Analysis: San Diego St Aztecs vs North Carolina Tar Heels – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: March 18, 2025
- Time: 1:10 AM UTC
- Location: UD Arena, Dayton, Ohio
Game Overview
The North Carolina Tar Heels face the San Diego State Aztecs in the NCAA Tournament First Four. North Carolina, with a 22-13 record, is favored over San Diego State, which has a 21-9 record. The winner advances to play Ole Miss in the South Region.
Key Factors to Consider
- North Carolina averages 80.8 points per game, while San Diego State averages 70.9. The Tar Heels have a strong offense but struggle defensively, allowing 75 points per game. San Diego State excels defensively, allowing just 63.6 points per game.
- The teams have met twice before, with North Carolina winning both games. Their last meeting was in 1990.
- No significant injury reports are available for either team.
- The neutral site at UD Arena could affect both teams equally, but North Carolina's recent form might give them an edge.
- Both teams are highly motivated to advance in the tournament, but North Carolina's experience in big games could be a factor.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | North Carolina -180, San Diego State +150 | North Carolina | β β β ββ 64% |
Spread | North Carolina -4.5 -105, San Diego State +4.5 -115 | San Diego State +4.5 | β β β ββ 55% |
Over_under | Over 142.5 -110, Under 142.5 -110 | Over 142.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Predicted Outcome
North Carolina is likely to win due to their strong offense.
Predicted Score: North Carolina 73, San Diego State 72