Match Analysis: RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05 – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: March 1, 2025
- Time: 2:30 PM UTC
- Location: Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
Game Overview
RB Leipzig and FSV Mainz 05 face off in a crucial Bundesliga match, with both teams having 38 points but differing in goal difference. Leipzig has been unbeaten in recent league matches but has struggled with frequent draws, while Mainz boasts a strong defensive record.
Key Factors to Consider
- RB Leipzig has been unbeaten in their last six league outings but has only won once. They have a strong home record, scoring 13 goals in six home games in 2025. Mainz is unbeaten in three league games, winning two, and has kept three consecutive clean sheets.
- The two teams have met 17 times, with Leipzig leading 8-5. Leipzig won the reverse fixture 2-0 in October. Four of their last five meetings have produced under 2.5 goals.
- Leipzig's Christoph Baumgartner is suspended, while Benjamin Henrichs, Assan OuΓ©draogo, Xaver Schlager, and Antonio Nusa are injured. Mainz's Dominik Kohr is suspended, Phillipp Mwene is a doubt, and Stefan Bell is unlikely to start.
- Leipzig recently advanced to the German Cup semi-finals with a 1-0 win over Wolfsburg, which could boost their morale. Mainz had a rest week after being knocked out of the Cup earlier.
- Both teams are highly motivated as they fight for Champions League spots. Leipzig needs to improve their position, while Mainz aims to maintain their advantage over Leipzig on goal difference.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | FSV Mainz 05: 290, RB Leipzig: -120, Draw: 260 | Draw | β β βββ 35% |
Spread | FSV Mainz 05: 0.5 -115, RB Leipzig: -0.5 -105 | RB Leipzig -0.5 | β β β ββ 52% |
Over_under | Over: 2.75 -102, Under: 2.75 -118 | Under 2.75 | β β β ββ 58% |
Predicted Outcome
Draw
Predicted Score: 1-1