Match Analysis: Deportes Tolima vs FBC Melgar – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-02-20
- Time: 00:30 UTC
- Location: Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
Game Overview
Deportes Tolima hosts FBC Melgar in the first leg of the Copa Libertadores 2025. Tolima is favored due to home advantage, while Melgar aims to exploit the second leg's altitude advantage in Peru.
Key Factors to Consider
- Deportes Tolima has a strong defensive setup and excels in physical matches, but struggles with consistency in scoring. Melgar benefits from recent international experience and home advantage in high-altitude matches.
- Limited recent head-to-head data, but both teams have shown resilience in continental competitions.
- No significant injury reports available for either team.
- Tolima's home conditions, including high humidity, could affect Melgar's performance. The altitude in Arequipa will be a significant factor in the second leg.
- Both teams are highly motivated to advance in the tournament, with Tolima seeking to capitalize on home advantage and Melgar aiming to use their home leg to secure progression.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -134 (Tolima), 475 (Melgar), 230 (Draw) | Deportes Tolima | β β β ββ 65% |
Spread | -0.75 (Tolima) -110, 0.75 (Melgar) -120 | Deportes Tolima -0.75 | β β β ββ 55% |
Over_under | Over 2.5: 143, Under 2.5: -190 | Under 2.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Predicted Outcome
Tolima is likely to win the first leg but may struggle in the second leg due to altitude.
Predicted Score: Tolima 2-1 Melgar (first leg)